Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and likewise lowered its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the price of routine diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the expected typical similar sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had predicted because the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

"Renewable products' list prices have actually been negatively impacted by a considerable decline in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.

"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have actually not decreased and eco-friendly item market price premiums have actually stayed weak," the company included.

Industry executives and analysts have said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki